September 24, 2007
By Brian Catalde
NAHB President and
Jerry Howard
NAHB Executive VP and CEO
 
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NAHB is already charting important progress on the credit crunch
less than two weeks after our Board meeting in Seattle, when we outlined a three-pronged strategy for addressing the situation on the legislative, regulatory and public affairs fronts.

Washington policymakers have responded to our concerns in several ways in recent days. The Fed has cut interest rates, FHA reform is moving through Congress and federal regulators are providing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac more flexibility to address the subprime crisis. These developments are important first steps in our battle, and NAHB will continue to work for further improvements until balance is restored in the housing markets.

In the weeks leading up to the Fed's announcement that it would cut interest rates, NAHB's Economics team provided Chairman Bernanke with regular updates on the health of the housing sector, and the need to act decisively to bolster housing and the economy. And when the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO), regulator of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, announced Sept. 19 that it would allow the GSEs to raise their portfolio limits by 2% annually so they can invest more than $20 billion in subprime mortgages, this was another step in the right direction, although it fell short of what we continue to advocate. (NAHB is calling on OFHEO to allow Fannie and Freddie to raise their portfolio caps by 10% to buy more subprime loans, help keep buyers from foreclosure and keep mortgage money flowing.) The good news kept coming in this week with the House approval of an important FHA reform bill that included an NAHB-supported amendment offered by Reps. Barney Frank (D-MA), Gary Miller (R-CA) and Dennis Cardoza (D-CA). This amendment would enable more creditworthy borrowers to purchase an FHA-insured home in many high-cost metropolitan markets. Companion legislation is pending in the Senate.

In recent weeks, NAHB's lobbying team has been continually meeting with leading members of Congress in the effort to pass legislation modernizing FHA mortgages and reforming the housing GSEs so they can play a larger role in restoring stability in the mortgage markets. We've placed ads in influential publications on Capitol Hill (picture above) and conducted major media outreach efforts to get our messages heard. In fact, during the past few days alone, NAHB has appeared or been quoted in more than 50 major print, broadcast and wire outlets across the country, including USA Today, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, Associated Press, Reuters, Dow Jones, The Seattle Times, the Dallas Morning News, the Atlanta-Journal Constitution, San Francisco Chronicle, St. Louis Post-Dispatch and The Philadelphia Inquirer, to name just a few.

Clearly, we still have a long way to go to restore health to the nation's mortgage markets and the overall housing industry, and there is no "quick fix" to the crisis at hand. In the days ahead, NAHB, its leaders and staff will continue to work tirelessly on behalf of our members toward steady progress and an eventual resolution to the challenges that lie ahead. Stay tuned to this report, NBN Online and other NAHB communications for continual updates on our progress.

The Federal Reserve sent a strong signal to financial markets
and American consumers on Sept. 18 that it intends to ensure the economy keeps moving ahead and the housing market regains its strength. Cutting the federal funds and discount rate each by half a percentage point was a decisive move that spells good news for both the economy and prospective home buyers seeking a piece of the American dream, NAHB said in an official statement reacting to the news. "In an economy that continues to grow, create jobs and increase household income, the Fed's move to lower borrowing costs is just one more reason to consider buying a home in the current economic climate," noted NAHB President Brian Catalde. The hope is that this latest action by the Fed will bolster consumer confidence as housing affordability improves and interest rates on conventional conforming loans remain near historic lows, creating a powerful incentive for buyers. Read more in the next Nation's Building News Online.

NAHB Member Benefit:  NAHB Senior Officers and several CEOs representing the largest national home builders and manufacturers of housing products met with Fed Chariman Ben Bernanke in Washington on Sept. 5 to discuss the state of the nation's housing industry. Bernanke received first-hand accounts of how the sharp housing slowdown was affecting our members and their local economies and why bold action was needed to restore liquidity at the short end of the financial markets. The meeting and the substantial data that NAHB's Economics team provided to the Fed through regular updates on the housing market prior to Sept. 18 likely factored into the Fed's decision-making process as it chose to cut short-term rates by a greater margin than many had expected. [return to top]

The House passed NAHB-supported FHA reform legislation
on Sept. 18 that would enable more working families to become homeowners. The Expanding American Homeownership Act of 2007, which was overwhelmingly approved with strong bipartisan support, "is an important step forward to address problems in the subprime mortgage market and help creditworthy borrowers to obtain home loans at prices and terms they can afford," said NAHB President Brian Catalde in an official statement released that day. Included in the legislation is an important NAHB-supported amendment that was offered by Reps. Barney Frank (D-MA), Gary Miller (R-CA) and Dennis Cardoza (D-CA). This amendment would help more creditworthy borrowers purchase an FHA-insured home in high-cost markets. Also, the legislation would:

- Grant FHA the authority to establish greater flexibility in setting 
  downpayment requirements for its single-family programs;

- Revise FHA requirements for condominium loans;

- Allow FHA to establish a risk-based mortgage insurance premium
  pricing structure that rewards higher-risk borrowers who establish
  a track record of timely payments;

- Permit the FHA to extend the maximum loan maturity to 40 years to
  enable borrowers to reduce  their monthly mortgage payments;

- Give the HUD Secretary increased flexibilty to increase the FHA multifamily
   loan limits in high-cost areas; and

- Allow the FHA to insure more "reverse mortgages" and increase the
  maximum loan amount.

The House-passed bill must now be reconciled with legislation currently pending in the Senate.

NAHB Member Benefit: During the past several weeks, NAHB's lobbying team has been meeting with leading members of Congress to pass legislation modernizing FHA mortgages and reforming Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac so that each of these can play a larger role in restoring stability in the mortgage markets. Contact: Scott Meyer, x8144. [return to top]

NAHB applauded the Federal Home Loan Bank of Des Moines
on Sept. 18 for its successful efforts to include single-family construction loans as eligible collateral for member loans. The bank received approval from its regulator, the Federal Housing Finance Board, to accept one-to-four family construction loans as part of a basket of other real estate collateral that may back its secured lending (called advances) to member financial institutions in its district, including Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri, North Dakota and South Dakota. This regulatory approval means the Des Moines Bank can proceed in developing specific collateral criteria with the intent of implementing its expanded authority in the near future.

In a statement applauding the bank on Sept. 18, NAHB President Brian Catalde said that by adding construction loans to its collateral menu, the Des Moines Federal Home Loan Bank "has shown outstanding responsiveness to credit needs in its district. This collateral expansion is an important signal that the Des Moines Bank is making every reasonable effort to support the home mortgage lending of its member institutions, in addition to establishing a long-term foundation for housing production credit availability."

NAHB Member Benefit: NAHB is a strong supporter of the Federal Home Loan Bank System as an essential element of housing finance. Our members are primarily small businesses with limited capital of their own who rely on the FHLBank System for credit to develop land and build homes.  In fact, more than 90% of all loans for residential land acquisition, development and construction come from commercial banks and thrifts, many of which are FHLBank members. [return to top]
Builder confidence continued downward this month
amid concerns about the substantial inventory of new single-family homes for sale and the effects that deepening mortgage market problems are having on buyer demand, according to the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) for September. The HMI fell for a seventh consecutive time this month, declining two points to 20. This is equal to its record low reached in January 1991 (note: the HMI was initiated in January 1985). Builders surveyed for the HMI indicated concern that potential home buyers are getting spooked by the many headlines they are seeing on mortgage market issues and declining house prices. The HMI's component index gauging current single-family home sales was down two points this time around to 20, while the component gauging sales expectations for the next six months was down five points to 26. The component gauging traffic of prospective buyers held even at 16. NAHB's current housing forecast projects that home sales will return to an upward path by the second quarter of 2008 and that housing starts will begin a gradual recovery process by the third quarter of 2008. Read our press release on the HMI or see the HMI tables online. For help with interpreting the HMI data, please contact Gopal Ahluwalia (x8480) or Ashok Chaluvadi (x8482). For help with media inquiries, contact Paul Lopez (x8409). [return to top]
Housing starts fell 2.6% in August
to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.33 million units, according to the latest figures from the U.S. Commerce Department, reported Sept. 19. Single-family housing starts were down 7.1% for the month to a rate of 988,000 units, which was down just over 27% from the same period a year earlier. The report is a sign that builders are doing what they have to in order to get back on track with sales – cutting back on new production and focusing on reducing inventories by offering a variety of incentives to boost sales and limit cancellations. According to NAHB Chief Economist David Seiders, "The housing market is still contracting, but [the recent] action by the Federal Reserve to cut the federal funds and discount rate calmed the financial markets and sent a message to American consumers that our central bank intends to ensure that the economy continues to move ahead. This will help to support housing, especially if the Fed takes further action in the months ahead." On the other side of the coin, multifamily housing starts rose 12.8% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 343,000 units in August. This was nearly 18% above the August 2006 rate. Looking at building permit issuance, overall permits were down nearly 6% in August to a 1.31 million-unit rate, with single-family permits down 8.1% and multifamily permits remaining unchanged from July. See our press release or the government's own report for details.

NAHB Member Benefit: NAHB conducts regular and extensive media outreach when government housing figures are released each month to educate reporters about the historical context in which numbers should be viewed, discourage sensationalized accounts and ensure that home builders' views are represented. NAHB also assists our members in dealing with media inquiries regarding the latest government data. [return to top]
Builders were less optimistic about the apartment market last quarter
amid concerns that an excess supply in the for-sale market is creating a shadow inventory of available rentals, according to results of NAHB's Multifamily Rental Market Index (MRMI). The MRMI for the second quarter of 2007 indicated that rental demand slipped significantly for Class A (luxury) apartments and declined moderately for both Class B and Class C apartments. According to NAHB Chief Economist David Seiders, "Occupancy rates are still reasonably good for rental apartments, but the significant correction we are currently experiencing in the for-sale segment is having some spillover effect." Even so, the MRMI indicated that multifamily builders remain fairly optimistic about market conditions heading into the next six months. All of the components tracking builder expectations for rental demand remained in positive territory. Read our press release, see the MRMI tables online, or contact Ann Marie Moriarty (x8350) for more information. [return to top]
168 HBAs have received a combined $3 million in matching grants
from NAHB to conduct ad campaigns aimed at bolstering home buyer confidence in their individual markets. Having reached this designated end mark, our very successful Buy Now Advertising Assistance Program concluded in late August. Launched at the 2007 International Builders' Show, the program targetted HBAs from the hardest-hit markets in the housing downturn to provide matching grants ranging from $5,000 to $75,000. All told, four grants were awarded in the top 10 major media markets, 89 HBAs received assistance in medium-sized markets and 75 HBAs with fewer than 250 members applied for and received funds. The combined value of advertising campaigns assisted through our Buy Now endeavors: More than $8.3 million! To find out how some of the assisted HBAs put the funds to work for their members, contact Gwyn Donohue, x8447.

NAHB Member Benefit: NAHB received many reports from HBAs who used this program with great results, and the "Buy Now" assistance campaign is a prime example of how your NAHB membership dues dollars have been put to work for you. The idea was to help home buyers see the positives of today's housing market and drive more business to your door using tried and true advertising techniques and messages tailored to each specific market. Going forward, please check out NAHB's Toolkit for a Challenging Housing Market on our Web site for a variety of information aimed at helping you bolster sales. [return to top]
Don't miss NAHB's upcoming Education Insider Conference,
which happens Oct. 1-2 at our National Housing Center headquarters in Washington, DC. Get all the information you need, including a tentative conference agenda, a registration form and helpful travel links, right here. [return to top]

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