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NAHB Concerns Highlighted in Fed Testimony
Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke last week testified before Congress that the housing market is cooling and moving toward a “soft landing.” In delivering the Fed's semiannual monetary report to Congress, the Fed chairman appeared before the Senate Banking Committee and House Financial Services Committee. Prior to Bernanke’s testimony, NAHB sent letters to lawmakers on both panels urging them to focus on two key areas: The Fed's position on the downside risks to the interest-sensitive housing sector stemming from recent rate-increases, and the Fed's reliance on what NAHB believes to be deficient inflation measures to rationalize the interest rate hikes that have caused the recent downtrend in housing demand.
While questioning Bernanke, Senate Banking Committee Ranking Member Senator Paul Sarbanes (D-MD) quoted directly from NAHB's letter about the impact of rising interest rates on housing affordability. Sarbanes also specifically noted NAHB's observation that rising rates, set in motion by the Fed's monetary tightening, have had the effect of firming up rental markets and raising the "owners' equivalent rent" components of core inflation measures that the Fed is trying to contain. Such questioning is in large part a testament to NAHB's credibility and clout on Capitol Hill, and solid evidence that our concerns about housing's "soft landing" being threatened by overly aggressive monetary tightening are in fact being heard by lawmakers as well as the Fed chairman himself.
For his part, Bernanke acknowledged that Sarbanes' "point about equivalent rent is a good point" but contended that "the increase in inflation we've seen is a much broader phenomenon than that single component." Even so, his awareness of the issue and Sarbanes' pronouncement that "it seems to me to have some validity" indicate it won't likely be forgotten as the Fed looks to the future.
In testimony before the House Financial Services Committee the following day, NAHB was once again successful in pressing this line of questioning with the Fed chairman. At NAHB's request, Rep. Gary Miller (R-CA) launched into spirited questioning on both themes. Chairman Bernanke responded in a similar manner; however, the exchange highlighted the positive results from the previous day. For more information, e-mail Scott Meyer or call him at 800-368-5242, x8144.
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