October 19, 2007

 
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Paulson and Bernanke: Housing a Drag on Economy
Despite strong economic fundamentals, the current housing downturn remains the most serious threat to the economy in the near-term, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke said in separate remarks this week. “The ongoing housing correction is not ending as quickly as it might have appeared late last year,” Paulson said during an address before the Georgetown Law Center in Washington, D.C. “And it now looks like it will continue to adversely impact our economy, our capital markets and many home owners for some time yet. Even so, I believe we have a healthy, diversified economy that will continue to grow.”

Echoing a similar theme, Fed Chairman Bernanke said in a speech before the Economic Club of New York that U.S. economic performance so far this year has been “reasonably good” despite a notable contraction in the housing sector that began in the second half of 2005. Since the last meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee in September, when the Fed announced it was cutting short-term interest rates by one-half of a percentage point, the housing market has weakened further, said Bernanke. “The further contraction in housing is likely to be a significant drag on growth in the current quarter and through early next year,” he said. “However, it remains too early to assess the extent to which household and business spending will be affected by the weakness in housing and the tightening in credit conditions.”

The Fed this week also released results from its "Beige Book," a snapshot of conditions in the Fed's 12 district banks throughout the country, that show the economy expanding in all areas, albeit at a slower pace since August. The Fed described growth as "moderate," "modest," and "mixed" around the country and executives interviewed in a number of industries "indicated a higher-than-usual degree of uncertainty about the outlook for economic activity."

In related economic developments, the Commerce Department reported that housing starts nationwide last month dropped 10.2 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.191 million units -- the lowest level since March 1993. In a press release commenting on the report, NAHB noted that "builders are pulling back on production until sales improve."

NAHB this week also released its Housing Market Index for October, which shows that builder confidence is continuing to fall, and is now at its lowest point since the series began in January of 1985. For more information, click here.

See the Oct. 22 issue of Nation's Building News for more on the Treasury secretary's and Fed chairman's remarks, or view the full statements of  Paulson and Bernanke. To learn more about the housing economic outlook, be sure to attend the NAHB Construction Forecast Conference on Oct. 24 at the National Housing Center.

Builders Oppose Plan to Federalize State Building Code Process
Testifying before the House Small Business Committee on Oct. 17, Pennsylvania home builder Frank Thompson said that "Congress should be promoting voluntary energy efficiency programs, extending tax incentives for highly efficient new home construction and protecting housing affordability from arbitrary building code increases when adopting new energy policy."

Under current law, building codes must be approved and adopted at the state and local level. Thompson urged lawmakers to remove a provision in energy bill H.R. 3221 that would create a new code-writing role for the Department of Energy for states that fail to achieve significant above-code benchmarks. “Because the structural and efficiency needs vary greatly for homes built in Florida or New York, versus homes built in Oregon or New Mexico, for example, it is crucial that the code process remains open, is based entirely upon consensus and is protected from overarching encroachment by any federal agency,” he said. “Establishing mandatory benchmarks and rigorous federal oversight for state building codes would  subvert the consensus-code development process, violate states’ rights and impose unwanted and exorbitant costs on home buyers.”

Thompson also called on Congress to extend and expand federal tax credits that passed as part of the Energy Policy Act of 2005. For more on the hearing, see NAHB's press release or contact Elizabeth Odina at 1-800-368-5242, x8570. [return to top]

Lead-Safe Remodeling Reduces Risks, NAHB Tells Congress
Mike Nagel, 2007 Chairman of the NAHB Remodelers, testified before Congress this week on the effectiveness of lead-safe renovation and repair practices used by professional remodelers to reduce lead levels in older homes. ”Professional remodeling, renovation and repair work performed by knowledgeable, trained contractors can serve as an agent against spreading lead hazards in older homes,” Nagel, a remodeler from Chicago, told members of the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee. “Research confirms that lead-safe remodeling and renovation improves lead levels in older homes, and that new hazards are not created when typical remodeling and renovation activities are undertaken by trained professionals.” 
  
NAHB urged Congress to work with the relevant federal agencies to fully fund critical lead-safe training programs and cautioned against imposing inappropriate and costly regulatory burdens on remodelers that would make it cost-prohibitive for consumers to hire trained professionals, or that could lead to further proliferation of potentially harmful do-it-yourself projects. Nagel said that NAHB is working aggressively to promote the value of lead-safe work practices and the benefits of professional remodeling for older homes. For more information, see NAHB's press release, visit www.nahb.org/remodel or contact Elizabeth Odina at 1-800-368-5242, x8570. [return to top]
Senate Panel Approves Flood Insurance Bill
By a unanimous 21-0 vote, members of the Senate Banking Committee voted this week to approve legislation to reauthorize the National Flood Insurance Program through 2013. Unlike House-passed bill H.R. 3121, the Senate bill would not expand the program to cover wind damage. H.R. 3121 does not include mandatory purchase requirements for properties sited behind flood protection structures while the Senate bill does. There is still a long way to go to reconcile differences between the two bills, as the full Senate must still approve the committee plan before the legislation goes to a House-Senate conference. In the interim, NAHB will continue to advocate for the House-version of the flood insurance bill. For more information, contact Scott Meyer at 1-800-368-5242, x8144. [return to top]
Terrorism Insurance Advances in Senate
The Senate Banking Committee approved a bill that would extend the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act (TRIA) for seven years. The bill differs markedly from recently passed House TRIA legislation (H.R. 2761). Unlike the Senate bill, the House measure would extend the program for 15 years; make available coverage for nuclear, biological, chemical and radiological attacks; reduce the threshold from $100 million to $50 million that would trigger coverage; and expand the program to cover life insurance. Enacted in 2002 in the wake of the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks, TRIA is intended to provide a backstop for insurance companies in the event of another attack on American soil. The current law is due to expire at the end of this year. NAHB continues to monitor the situation. For more information, contact Scott Meyer at 1-800-368-5242, x8144. [return to top]
For more information or to contact us directly, please visit www.NAHB.org l ©2007, National Association of Home Builders

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